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September 24, 2026

12:13 PM PDT

BULLETIN ! THEY'RE ALIVE !

webmaster@pennantsolutions.com

"THEY" BEING SEA, WHO JUST WALKED OFF HOU & HADER !

KEEPS ALIVE 3-WAY TIE at 78-84 for AL West; SEA WINS TB !!!

Details & Impact on "MAX TIES" After Wed. Results Fully Analyzed

End 9-23 11:05 pm PDT Post

Here are the Details for SEA & AL W, Starting Play on Thursday

2026 :Links not updated yet

1. All Three Teams Have FOUR GAMES REMAINING

2. SEA's Only Hope is to End Up in a 3-Way Tie at 78-84

For More Details,

3. For that to Happen, SEA Must SWEEP 4, TEX & HOU 4L Each

Click on the Links Below

How (UN)Likely is That ? 4,095 to 1 !!!!

NL DIVISION STDGS

NL WILD CARD STDGS

Here's How Those Odds Are Calculated:

1. Imagine a "Fair Coin", Equally Likely to Land H or T when flipped.

AL DIVISION STDGS

2. Treat Each of the 12 Games (4g for each team) as a coin flip.

AL WILD CARD STDGS

3. For SEA to end up in 3-Way Tie, H=SEA W, AND H=TEX & HOU L

4. SEA Needs 12 Heads in a Row, i.e., SEA 4W, TEX 4L, HOU 4L

Now let These 12 Games represent 12 Coin Flips.

If we call 12 Coin Flips a Single "Trial" or "Experiment", How Many

Trials of 12 Flips Per Trial Would We Have to Run in Order to Get

ONE TRIAL Where We Get 12 HEADS in a ROW?

In 4,096 Trials, We Would Expect ONLY ONE Case of 12 Heads -

the Other 4,095 Trials Would Produce AT LEAST ONE TAIL in 12 flips.

AND If SEA manages to pull this off, They WIN 3-Way Tiebreaker

with a Combined Record of 15-11, vs. 12-14 for TEX & HOU

Let the Coin Flipping Begin ! First Up is NYM at TEX

End 9-24 12:15 Pm PDT Post

AND THEN THERE WERE SEVEN !

WELCOME BACK TO OUR LITTLE FANTASY WORLD WE CALL

"MAXIMUM POSSIBLE TIE (THAI ?) -LAND"

We Began Friday With a Possible Tie Among Nine (9) ALTeams !!!

That's right, 9 Teams could have tied if we included the two tight Division Races still going on.

But Hold On, You Say - You Can't Be Serious ! (to quote J. McEnroe)

Yes, We Are - And We're Crunching the Numbers to Prove It.

TRUTH IN ADVERTISING

When We Started This Analysis Prior to Friday's Games, ANYTHING WAS POSSIBLE !

By That I Mean, the 9-Team AL Tie Was Possible AND Every One of the 9 Teams Had a

Shot at at Least the 3rd Wild Card; in Fact, Only BAL & TOR Were Out of Their Div Races.

But Just Like in Musical Chairs, Not Everybody Ends Up A Winner. In Fact, with BOS

Clinching a Playoff Spot on Sunday, There Were Only 3 Slots Left (2 Div, 1 WC). So 6 of

End WED 8:00 pm PDT Post

the 9 Teams Will End Up Out of the Playoffs. BUT THAT WAS TRUE FROM THE START !

The 9-Team Tie Was A Legitimate Possibility, and if it had occurred, the Tie-Breaker Rules

Would Have Been Used to Determine EVERYTHING: the Central & West Div Winners, the

3rd Wild Card Team, and as a Result, the Six Teams Who Would Not Make the Playoffs.

BTW, When Play Started on Friday, Sep. 18, with Six of the Nine Teams Within 3 G of .500,

Not Surprising That EACH of the 9 AL Teams Held AT LEAST TWO H to H Tiebreakers vs.

Their 8 Opponents.

So Going Forward, We Will Continue to FOCUS on the MAX POSSIBLE TIES, recognizing

that tied teams could end up partially or even completely "out of the money",

i.e., ties could involve teams finishing in the fourth Wild Card & below.

Teams making the playoffs require a separate analysis - we will try to note significant

events that affect Playoff Clinches, but will remain locked in on our "Max Ties" Objective.

So How Did Our Two Scenarios Make Out on Tuesday ?

81 WINS - 6 Teams from CLE (81 W) down to BAL (76 W)

TUE Results - BAL was rained out, but CLE W, so this has now separated into

2 cases of FIVE Teams Each (CLE 82 W to TOR 77W, CWS 81 W to BAL 76 W).

AND only ONE of those cases can survive WED, since TOR plays a DH vs. BAL.

78 WINS - 7 Teams from TEX (78 W) down to DET (74 W), MIN & SEA (73 W)

TUE Results - MIN W, needs 4-0 Finish; DET L, needs 4-0 Finish; HOU L, needs

5-0 Finish. So SEVEN Teams Still Possible, but 3 Trailers Hanging by a Thread.

Now On to How Max Ties Look at Start of Wednesday, Sep. 23rd:

Here are the Two LIVE AL Scenarios AND Wednesday Results Needed to Keep Them ALIVE

82 or 81 WINS - 5 Teams (CLE to TOR, CWS to BAL)

WED Results Needed - BOTH of These Will Turn on TOR at BAL DH, AND only

ONE Can Retain 5 Teams, so I grouped them together; CLE, CWS L also needed.

78 WINS - 7 Teams from TEX & HOU (78 W) down to DET & MIN (74 W), SEA (73 W)

WED Results Needed - TEX, HOU L; DET, MIN, SEA all Need to Win Out.

NOTE: Since TEX finishes at MIN, One of Those Teams Will Not Make the Tie at Seaon's End.

NOTE: Seven-Team Tie Still Possible Entering Wednesday, But DET & MIN Already ELIM

from Playoffs when CWS Won #80 on Sunday;

(read Truth in Advertising, above, for distinction between Alive for Ties vs. Alive forPlayoffs).

WE ARE BACK and OFF TO THE (2026 PENNANT) RACES !!!

(NEW content for 2026 only began on SUN. 9-06 with GIANTS "EARLY" ELIM,

so NONE of the links in the right-hand column have been updated for 2026.

My apologies, but I hope to correct that soon).

Question from 2017:

Why did NL Office take 2 tries to Decide LA had Clinched Playoffs 9-12-2017?

(according to Bill Shaikin of the L A Times)? We may never know.

Previous Headlines

Posted Sun. SEPT. 23, 2026, 11:09 PM PDT

BULLETIN ! THEY'RE ALIVE !

"THEY" BEING SEA, WHO JUST WALKED OFF HOU & HADER !

Posted Sun. SEPT. 23, 2026, 7:54 PM PDT

AND THEN THERE WERE SEVEN !

Posted Sun. SEPT. 22, 2026, 7:35 PM PDT

AND THEN THERE WERE SEVEN !

Posted Sun. SEPT. 21, 2026, 3:48 PM PDT

AND THEN THERE WERE SEVEN !

Posted Sun. SEPT. 20, 2026, 11:46 AM PDT

AND THEN THERE WERE EIGHT !

WELCOME BACK TO OUR LITTLE FANTASY WORLD WE CALL

"MAXIMUM POSSIBLE TIE (THAI ?) -LAND"

Posted Fri. SEPT. 18, 2026, 10:06 PM PDT

MAXIMUM POSSIBLE TIES ?

WOULD YOU BELIEVE 7 TEAMS - IN AL ?

WAIT A MINUTE, THIS JUST IN ! MAKE THAT NINE (9) TEAMS !!!

Posted Fri. SEPT. 12, 2026, 3:56 PM PDT

ONE WIN by EITHER ARI or SD Now Enough for KO !

UPDATE - SD W, NATS OUT @ 3:48 PM PDT (Details Below)

Posted Fri. SEPT. 11, 2026, 3:26 AM PDT

SAT. UPDATE for Western Insomniacs, Eastern Early Risers

Posted Sun. SEPT. 6, 2026, 7:13 pm PDT

BULLETIN:

GIANTS w/ One Foot in Grave - Now It's Two !!

or as Yogi might say, "It Ain't Over 'Til It's Over - But NOW IT IS OVER !!

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