P E N N A N T S O L U T I O N S Last Update:                    
  WHAT IS PENNANT SOLUTIONS ? CLICK HERE Monday    
    September 23, 2019    
  STL CLINCHED WC SUNDAY: Swept CUBS, Eliminating CUBS from NL C (NOT WC) at same time 7:45 PM PDT        
  This is a Magic No. Clinch AND Elim, Based on 89 W + 74 L Contact us by email at:        
  Worth Mentioning Because of One Subtle Nuance - It Depends on the DIVISION(S) of the Teams Involved webmaster@pennantsolutions.com        
  At First Glance, STL Did Not Clinch, Because STL Still Competing w/ WAS & MIL for 2 Available WC Slots          
  BUT IF STL Finishes 3rd Among These 3 Teams, STL Still Claims 2nd WC Because MIL WILL HAVE WON NL CENTRAL        
               
  Click on NL 2019 CLINCH SUMMARY to See Why DIVISIONS MATTER in WC CLINCH NL 2019 CLINCH SUMMARY        
    NL DIVISION STDGS          
  We Will Continue to Post Standings, But This Marks the End of Clinch Sumry & Home Page Posts for 2019 NL WILD CARD STDGS      
  Hope to see you all back here in 2020 ! NL 2019 ELIM SUMMARY      
           
Question from 2017: Why did NL Office take 2 tries to Determine LA's Tue. 9-12-17 Playoff Clinch Requirements        
  (according to Bill Shaikin of the L A Times)? We may never know. For More Details, Click on      
Previous Headlines the Links Above and Below      
    AL DIVISION STDGS      
  At 4:53 PM PDT: B U L L E T I N ! B U L L E T I N ! B U L L E T I N ! AL WILD CARD STDGS      
  ATLANTA JUST CLINCHED WC SATURDAY BY BEATING NATS AL 2019 ELIM SUMMARY      
  Magic No. STILL ONE, Since Current WC3 MIL Still at 69 L      
  Sorry for the 4+ Hour Delay - Was Quadruple-Checking (Not the Math)      
  But How to Correctly & Succintly Summarize the Math Into English      
         
  ATLANTA CAN CLINCH WC SATURDAY TWO DIFFERENT WAYS:      
  1. Simplest: Just Win, Baby. MinLoss Already at 70 L. 93RD WIN Would Clinch      
  2. Move MinLoss to 71 L. Requires PHI AND CUBS to LOSE (Latter Guarantees 71 L by ONE of NL C Top 3)      
  What Does 2. Accomplish? Guarantees 3rd WC AT LEAST 71 L. ATL Already Won #92 Friday - CLINCH !!      
         
  STL, MIL Loss No Help - 3 SGR Already "Baked Into" MinLoss (CUBS' L not only Equal to STL, MIL - 1,000 % Better ! )      
         
  Wins by STL & CUBS Put CIN Out of NL C on THURSDAY - Magic No. TWO at ELIMINATION !!      
  COL LOSS Puts COL Out of Playoffs (Magic No. = 0, Since Earlier MIL Win #78 Caught Up to MinWin )      
         
  ATLANTA WC Clinch Window CLOSED When NYM Swept AZ THURSDAY - Not Open Again Until Saturday      
  NO CLINCH Because MinLoss Remained at 70 L (NYM, PHI both 70 L: Top 3 NL C no worse than 70 L); ATL = 91 W      
  Simplest ATL Clinch By SATURDAY: WIN 2 Straight vs. WAS      
  Else: Raise MinLoss to 71 (NYM Lose 1 to L A; CUBS Lose 1 to PIT; PHI Lose 1 to BOS), ATL Win 1 vs. WAS      
  ALL of These Outcomes Possible FRIDAY EXCEPT PHI idle until SATURDAY      
  What Does This Accomplish? Guarantees 3rd WC AT LEAST 71 L, ATL 92 W - CLINCH !!      
  STL, MIL Loss No Help - 3 SGR Already "Baked Into" MinLoss (CUBS' L not only Equal to STL, MIL - 1,000 % Better ! )      
         
  S P E C I A L U P D A T E O N A T L C L I N C H A T 1 1 : 5 9 A M P D T      
  MLB Issued Their ATL Clinch Scenario for Thu. at 11:17 AM EDT (almost 4 hrs. ago). We agree on everything,      
  EXCEPT they limit NL C Loss options to STL or MIL - we include 3 teams incl. CUBS. What Makes      
  a STL or MIL Loss "more equal" than a CUBS Loss? We might have overlooked some weird impacts of      
  Tiebreak Rules, but we think that's unlikely. Why? Because in our analysis, the NL C can still finish in a 3-way tie      
  at 70 L. The purpose of the STL or MIL Loss is to force 1 of the 3 teams to 71 L, without specifying which team      
  ends up at 71 L. But if that's their purpose, a CUBS Loss accomplishes it also. Can anyone help us out here ?      
         
  ATL Can STILL Clinch a WC by THURSDAY - AND Magic No. STILL 1, 2, or 3 When They Do !!!      
  Wed. Games Reduced Magic No. to FOUR, BUT PENNANT SOLUTION is Now Down to Two (91 W, WC3 MinLoss 70)      
  NEXT WIN by ATL IS #92 - AND If It Comes Thu., That Also Pushes PHI to 71 L      
  NYM WON WED. Giving AZ 71 L - Clinch Requires AZ to Return The Favor      
  1 MORE LOSS Among Top 3 NL C Teams Would Guarantee 71 L for One of Them, Due to 10 SGR      
         
  CIN Lost; Next Loss OR Wins by STL & CUBS Put CIN Out of NL C; Next COL Loss Puts COL Out of Playoffs      
         
  Next Up is ATL - They Can Clinch a WC by THURSDAY - AND Magic No. STILL 1, 2, or 3 When They Do !!!      
  Current Magic No. is FIVE, BUT PENNANT SOLUTION (c) is Already Down to Four      
  FIRST Step is ATL WINS TWO - BUT That Also Pushes PHI to 71 L      
  Also Requires AZ & NYM at 71 L - So They Need to Split Next 2 Games      
  LAST Step: Get 1 of Top 3 NL C Teams to 71 L - but That Only Requires 3 L Among Them, Due to 10 SGR        
           
  Cincinnati Could Be Out of NL C, COL Could Be Out of Playoffs - Both WEDNESDAY !      
         
  L A Magic No. For NL WEST is 1 (L A W, AZ L); CAN CLINCH WC Before DIV, But Not Until WEDNESDAY      
  So Here Is What It Will Take: 2 LOSSES By L A, 2 WINS By AZ to Keep NL WEST RACE ALIVE      
  - 2 LOSSES by MIL, 1 LOSS by PHI, 4 LOSSES COMBINED by STL, CUBS; This Pushes MIL & PHI to 70 L      
  - It Also Guarantees EITHER STL or CUBS Reach 70 L. That Leaves AZ & WAS as Only 2 WC Teams w/ < 70 L.      
  - And That Leaves 93 WINS as the Requirement for WC Clinch, Which L A Already Has      
         
  PIT Out of NL C Sunday, Due to 2nd Straight L to STL - Magic No. STILL ONE !      
  MinWin Reached 82 on SAT. (STL WIN) - 81st LOSS on SUNDAY Eliminates PIT by Pennant Solution      
  SUNDAY'S STL W, PIT L Drops Magic No. from 3 to 1 - PIT Out But Magic No. STILL ONE !      
  COL has Magic No. 3, PS 2 - but that slim Delta not likely to be sustained      
         
  CWS Went Out of AL Central Monday - Magic No. IS STILL ONE !      
  White Sox LOSS to Cleveland Was SOX' #77      
  Combined with TWINS Win vs. DET, That Dropped Magic Number to ONE      
  Combination of MIN, CLE Wins Pushed MinWin to 86 From 85, Keeping It One Ahead of Twins' Wins AND Eliminating Sox      
         
  B U L L E T I N ! ! B U L L E T I N ! ! B U L L E T I N ! ! B U L L E T I N ! !      
  MIAMI OUT W/ SUNDAY LOSS - Magic No. TWO AT ELIMINATION !!      
         
  CWS Could Go Out of AL Central Monday - Magic No. Would Still Be ONE !      
  All It Takes is a Twins WIN and White Sox LOSS to Cleveland (Twins Have Now Beaten Detroit on Monday)      
  Magic No. is Three at Start of Monday - Twins Win, CWS Loss Would Drop it to One      
  But Combination of MIN & CLE Wins Would Push MinWin to 86 From 85, Keeping It One Ahead of Leader Wins AND Eliminating Sox      
           
  B U L L E T I N ! ! B U L L E T I N ! ! B U L L E T I N ! ! B U L L E T I N ! !        
  MIAMI OUT W/ SUNDAY LOSS - Magic No. TWO AT ELIMINATION !!        
           
  MIAMI Could Be Out of Playoffs by Sunday, with Magic Number as High as THREE at ELIM        
  Current Magic Number in WC2 is 4 - But MinWin (75) is TWO AHEAD of Division Leader (Cubs, 73)        
  That Means TWO LOSSES Eliminate MIA (i.e., Possibly by Sun.)        
  Cubs Already Lost on Sat.; If They Lose on Sun. Also, Delta Remains at TWO Even If MIA is Eliminated        
  If MinWin Goes to 76 by Sun., Delta & Magic No. Could Go as High as THREE (depends on CUBS)        
           
  MIAMI Could Be Out of Playoffs by Saturday, with Magic Number as High as FOUR at ELIM        
  Current Magic Number in WC2 is 7 - But MinWin (74) is THREE AHEAD of Division Leader (Cubs, 71)        
  Two Most Likely Ways to Advance MinWin include WAS - And WAS Hosts MIA This Weekend !        
  If MIA Loses to CIN Thu. & Drops TWO to WAS, MIA Eliminated; Magic No. High as FOUR (depends on CUBS)        
           
  Small Deltas Remain in AL C (2), AL WC2 (1) - No PS Eliminations Imminent        
           
  MIAMI Can Be Eliminated from NL EAST SUNDAY - Either By Traditional Magic No. OR By PENNANT SOLUTION        
  Magic Number is Simple - ATLANTA WINS, MIAMI LOSES, & MIAMI IS ELIMINATED        
  PS is EVEN SIMPLER ! Because PS is Already Down to 1, MIAMI LOSES & THEY'RE OUT        
  PS Running 1 Ahead of Magic Number Because Division MinWin Has Reached 80, While ATL Still at 79 W        
  (Include ALL FOUR East Teams Other Than MIAMI to Calculate This Result)        
           
  B U L L E T I N ! !        
  K C Out of AL C Due to FRIDAY LOSS - Magic No. STILL TWO !!        
  MIN & CLE Still Play Each Other 6 Times - That Means 79 Wins are Already Required to Win AL C        
  Playoff Elim of DET likely this week-end, probably by Magic No.; Slim Chance of Sun. PS Elim. (BAL out FRI.)        
         
  K C Out of AL C w/ FRIDAY LOSS - Magic No. Would STILL BE TWO !!        
  MIN & CLE Still Play Each Other 6 Times - That Means 79 Wins are Already Required to Win AL C        
  Playoff Elims of BAL, DET likely this week-end, probably by Magic No.; Slim Chance of Sun. PS Elims.        
       
  NO ELIM are Possible on Thu. -      
  But Depending on the Outcome of Thu. Games, Friday Could Be a Barn-burner (Hello, K C, BAL, DET !!!)      
         
  DET ELIM from AL CENTRAL on MON. by LOSS #85 !!      
  A. DET LOSS #85 & DIV MINWIN = 78 (due to 6 SGR Between MIN & CLE) Means AL C Elimination      
  B. Since Division Leader MINNESOTA HAS 76 WINS (2 < MINWIN), Magic No. STILL TWO at Elimination !!        
     
  SUNDAY'S Results Mean DET Div ELIM Possible MON. !!    
  All it takes is MIN WIN or DET LOSS - DIV ELIM Would Come with Magic No. STILL TWO in EITHER CASE !!  
  PENNANT SOLUTION Already DOWN to 1,    
  Due to 6 Games Remng. Betwn. MIN & CLE (Despite Magic No. = 3)    
   
  BULLETIN !! SUNDAY'S Results Mean DET Div ELIM Possible MON. !!          
  All it will take is MIN WIN or DET LOSS - And ELIM Would Come with Magic No. STILL TWO in EITHER CASE !!  
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
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