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P E N N A N T S O L U T I O N S © |
Last Update: |
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WHAT IS PENNANT SOLUTIONS © ? CLICK HERE |
Tuesday |
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September 26, 2023 |
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S F GIANTS AS WILD CARD ? IT'S COMPLICATED. |
8:29 PM PDT |
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Contact us by email at: |
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Here's the Simple Part: Lose and They're Out |
webmaster@pennantsolutions.com |
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They could still finish in as many as ten different ties for a Wild Card, |
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even if they finished 82-80, because the 4 contenders ahead |
2023 :Links not updated yet |
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of them all have 82 Wins or Less. |
For More Details, |
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BUT S F comes out a loser in ALL TIE-BREAKERS at 82 W. |
Click on the Links Below |
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NL DIVISION STDGS |
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So it's on to the TIE-BREAKERS at 83 W. |
NL WILD CARD STDGS |
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(S F could actually squeak in without a tie; but that requires |
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3 of the other 4 teams win 82 or less). |
AL DIVISION STDGS |
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S F is competing with AZ, CUBS, CIN, MIA for last 2 Wild Cards |
AL WILD CARD STDGS |
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5-Way Tie: S F has 14-18 combined H to H (tied w/ Cubs) - no W C |
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4-Way Tie: S F, AZ, CIN, MIA |
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MIA best at 10-8, but S F, CIN both .500. CUBS need to go |
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winless, stay at 82 W, SF Div. (30-22) beats CIN (23-29). |
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3-Way Ties: 3 different paths here; all Exclude Cubs (as did 4-Way) - |
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because that excludes SF's 1-5 W-L v. Cubs. |
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1) SF, AZ, CIN all .500; Lvl 2 SF .577, AZ .558. Cubs or MIA < 83 W |
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2) SF,AZ,MIA - MIA .583; SF,AZ=.474, Lvl 2 SF>AZ. Cubs, CIN < 83 W |
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3) SF, CIN, MIA - SF best at .538; WC 3 IF one of AZ or Cubs = 82 W |
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2-Way Ties: |
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SF owns Tie-breaker vs. CIN; 3-3 vs. MIA, Lvl 2 SF > MIA |
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(both of these require that one of AZ or Cubs remain at 82 W). |
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So There You Have It. Six paths to a Wild Card for SF via Tie-Breaker. |
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But each path requires at least one team (in one case, two) that is NOT |
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part of the TIE win no more than 82 games; CUBS are one of those |
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teams in ALL 6 cases. |
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(subtitle: Thank Heaven for Tie-Breakers) |
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WE ARE BACK and OFF TO THE (PENNANT) RACES !!! |
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Question from 2017: Why did NL Office take 2 tries to Determine |
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LA's Tue. 9-12-17 Playoff Clinch Requirements |
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(according to Bill Shaikin of the L A Times)? We may never know. |
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WE FOCUS ON "EARLY" CLINCHES & ELIMINATIONS THAT TAKE |
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THE FULL REMAINING SCHEDULE INTO ACCOUNT, RATHER THAN |
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RELY ON THE STANDARD (BUT OFTEN LATE) MAGIC NUMBER. SO WHEN |
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SHOPPING FOR A PENNANT ANALYZER, INSIST ON THE TRUE |
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PENNANT SOLUTION ©. |
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Previous Headlines |
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Sun. 9-24 at 4:09 pm PDT |
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POST-GAME UPDATE: |
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NYY NOT JUST DOWN, THEY’RE OUT |
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YANKEES start Sun. at 78-76 in desperate battle for a Wild Card |
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They got the kind of help they needed to stay alive, with |
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BOTH HOU & SEA Losing (to stay at 85 and 84 L, respectively). |
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BUT the YANKEES LOST #77 to Arizona. |
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. . . and qualify for WC 3 via Tie-breaker. NOT HAPPENING ! WTNY! |
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(WTNY – Wait ‘til Next Year, the old Brooklyn Dodgers’ rallying cry) |
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Earlier this afternoon (Before NYY Lost to Arizona): |
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YANKEES ON THE BRINK - DOWN BUT NOT OUT |
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(subtitle: Thank Heaven for Tie-Breakers) |
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YANKEES start Sun. at 78-76 in desperate battle for a Wild Card |
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If NYY wins out (8-0), Best they can do is 86-76. That means there |
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are 4 teams they could catch (TOR, TEX, HOU, SEA). |
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AND two of those they could actually surpass (HOU, SEA) - |
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which is a Good Thing, since 1st W C & AL E Div not |
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reachable by NYY (due to BAL and/or T B). |
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So NYY could reach WC, they're battling 4 other teams, 1 of 3 will |
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win AL W, so 2 of 4 teams earn a W C, other 2 miss Playoffs. |
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Wed. 9-20 at 3:44 pm PDT |
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M E A C U L P A ! M E A C U L P A ! M E A C U L P A ! |
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T B at BAL – NEITHER Clinched on SAT. NIGHT !! |
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Both DID Clinch a Tie - |
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But the Devil is in the Details – The Tie-Breaker Details |
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As penance for my Pennant Solution (c) error, I will |
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explain why BAL did not hold 100% of the |
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tie-breakers, and hence, they Did Not Clinch |
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Sat. 9-16 at 3:04 pm PDT |
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T B WIN Would Clinch Playoffs “EARLY” on SAT. NT, |
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(Clinch Possible Even If They LOSE) |
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AND AS MUCH AS 3 AHEAD OF Magic No. |
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BAL CAN Clinch Playoffs SAT. NT. ALSO |
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Sat. 9-16 at 11:55 am PDT |
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T B CAN CLINCH PLAYOFFS “EARLY” - |
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AS “EARLY” AS SAT. NIGHT, |
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AND AS MUCH AS 3 AHEAD OF Magic No. |
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BAL CAN CLINCH PLAYOFFS SAT. NT. ALSO |
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Fri. 9-15 at 6:54 pm PDT |
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BAL OR T B CAN CLINCH PLAYOFFS “EARLY” - |
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AS “EARLY” AS SAT. NIGHT, |
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AND AS MUCH AS 3 AHEAD OF Magic No. |
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Sun. 9-10 at 2:12 pm PDT |
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BRAVES 1ST TEAM TO CLINCH 2023 PLAYOFF SLOT - |
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AND THEY DID IT “EARLY” |
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A later update will explain what we mean by “EARLY” |
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(hint: it involves the 3 remaining games between |
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Arizona and the Cubs) |
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Wed. 8-23 |
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OAK 1ST TEAM OUT OF 2023 PLAYOFFS (Loss to K C) |
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copyright, Steven M. Patent 2013-2023 |
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Tags: NL East, Braves, Atllanta, Mets, New York, NYM, Marlins, Miami, Phillies, Wild Card, |
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Philadelphia, Nationals, Washington, NL Wild Card, |
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Tags: NL Central, Cubs, Chicago, Reds, Cincinnati, Brewers, Milwaukee, Pirates, Number, Elimination, E# |
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Pittsburgh, Cardinals, St. Louis, Clinch, Magic Number, Tragic Number |
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Tags: NL West, Diamondbacks, D'backs, Arizona, Rockies, Colorado, Dodgers, LA, |
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L A, Los Angeles, Padres, San Diego, S D, SD, Giants, San Francisco, S F, SF |
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Tags: AL East, Orioles, Baltimore, Yankees, New York, NYY, Red Sox, Boston, Rays, |
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Tampa Bay, Blue Jays, Toronto, AL Wild Card, 2nd Wild Card, WC 2 |
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Tags: Pennant Solution ©, Playoffs, MLB, Major League Baseball, Clinch, Teams |
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Clinch Playoffs, COVID Baseball, 60 Games, 16 Playoff |
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Tags: AL Central, Royals, Kansas City, K C, KC, Twins, Minnesota, Tigers, Detroit, |
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Indians, Cleveland, White Sox, Chicago, GB, WCGB |
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Tags: AL West, Angels, Anaheim, Los Angeles, LAA, Rangers, Texas, Astros, Houston, |
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A's, Athletics, Oakland, Mariners, Seattle, Baseball, Pennant Race, 2023 |
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© Copyright 1984, 1994, 2005, 2010, 2012, 2013-2023 by Steven Patent |
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