P E N N A N T S O L U T I O N S © Last Update:

WHAT IS PENNANT SOLUTIONS © ? CLICK HERE Tuesday


September 26, 2023

S F GIANTS AS WILD CARD ? IT'S COMPLICATED. 8:29 PM PDT


Contact us by email at:

Here's the Simple Part: Lose and They're Out webmaster@pennantsolutions.com

They could still finish in as many as ten different ties for a Wild Card,

even if they finished 82-80, because the 4 contenders ahead 2023 :Links not updated yet

of them all have 82 Wins or Less. For More Details,

BUT S F comes out a loser in ALL TIE-BREAKERS at 82 W. Click on the Links Below


NL DIVISION STDGS

So it's on to the TIE-BREAKERS at 83 W. NL WILD CARD STDGS

(S F could actually squeak in without a tie; but that requires

3 of the other 4 teams win 82 or less). AL DIVISION STDGS

S F is competing with AZ, CUBS, CIN, MIA for last 2 Wild Cards AL WILD CARD STDGS

5-Way Tie: S F has 14-18 combined H to H (tied w/ Cubs) - no W C

4-Way Tie: S F, AZ, CIN, MIA

MIA best at 10-8, but S F, CIN both .500. CUBS need to go

winless, stay at 82 W, SF Div. (30-22) beats CIN (23-29).

3-Way Ties: 3 different paths here; all Exclude Cubs (as did 4-Way) -

because that excludes SF's 1-5 W-L v. Cubs.

1) SF, AZ, CIN all .500; Lvl 2 SF .577, AZ .558. Cubs or MIA < 83 W

2) SF,AZ,MIA - MIA .583; SF,AZ=.474, Lvl 2 SF>AZ. Cubs, CIN < 83 W

3) SF, CIN, MIA - SF best at .538; WC 3 IF one of AZ or Cubs = 82 W

2-Way Ties:

SF owns Tie-breaker vs. CIN; 3-3 vs. MIA, Lvl 2 SF > MIA

(both of these require that one of AZ or Cubs remain at 82 W).




So There You Have It. Six paths to a Wild Card for SF via Tie-Breaker.

But each path requires at least one team (in one case, two) that is NOT

part of the TIE win no more than 82 games; CUBS are one of those

teams in ALL 6 cases.

(subtitle: Thank Heaven for Tie-Breakers)




WE ARE BACK and OFF TO THE (PENNANT) RACES !!!




Question from 2017: Why did NL Office take 2 tries to Determine

LA's Tue. 9-12-17 Playoff Clinch Requirements

(according to Bill Shaikin of the L A Times)? We may never know.




WE FOCUS ON "EARLY" CLINCHES & ELIMINATIONS THAT TAKE

THE FULL REMAINING SCHEDULE INTO ACCOUNT, RATHER THAN

RELY ON THE STANDARD (BUT OFTEN LATE) MAGIC NUMBER. SO WHEN

SHOPPING FOR A PENNANT ANALYZER, INSIST ON THE TRUE

PENNANT SOLUTION ©.



Previous Headlines


Sun. 9-24 at 4:09 pm PDT

POST-GAME UPDATE:

NYY NOT JUST DOWN, THEY’RE OUT




YANKEES start Sun. at 78-76 in desperate battle for a Wild Card

They got the kind of help they needed to stay alive, with

BOTH HOU & SEA Losing (to stay at 85 and 84 L, respectively).




BUT the YANKEES LOST #77 to Arizona.

. . . and qualify for WC 3 via Tie-breaker. NOT HAPPENING ! WTNY!

(WTNY – Wait ‘til Next Year, the old Brooklyn Dodgers’ rallying cry)




Earlier this afternoon (Before NYY Lost to Arizona):




YANKEES ON THE BRINK - DOWN BUT NOT OUT

(subtitle: Thank Heaven for Tie-Breakers)




YANKEES start Sun. at 78-76 in desperate battle for a Wild Card

If NYY wins out (8-0), Best they can do is 86-76. That means there

are 4 teams they could catch (TOR, TEX, HOU, SEA).

AND two of those they could actually surpass (HOU, SEA) -

which is a Good Thing, since 1st W C & AL E Div not

reachable by NYY (due to BAL and/or T B).

So NYY could reach WC, they're battling 4 other teams, 1 of 3 will

win AL W, so 2 of 4 teams earn a W C, other 2 miss Playoffs.




Wed. 9-20 at 3:44 pm PDT

M E A C U L P A ! M E A C U L P A ! M E A C U L P A !




T B at BAL – NEITHER Clinched on SAT. NIGHT !!

Both DID Clinch a Tie -

But the Devil is in the Details – The Tie-Breaker Details




As penance for my Pennant Solution (c) error, I will

explain why BAL did not hold 100% of the

tie-breakers, and hence, they Did Not Clinch




Sat. 9-16 at 3:04 pm PDT

T B WIN Would Clinch Playoffs “EARLY” on SAT. NT,

(Clinch Possible Even If They LOSE)

AND AS MUCH AS 3 AHEAD OF Magic No.

BAL CAN Clinch Playoffs SAT. NT. ALSO




Sat. 9-16 at 11:55 am PDT

T B CAN CLINCH PLAYOFFS “EARLY” -

AS “EARLY” AS SAT. NIGHT,

AND AS MUCH AS 3 AHEAD OF Magic No.

BAL CAN CLINCH PLAYOFFS SAT. NT. ALSO




Fri. 9-15 at 6:54 pm PDT

BAL OR T B CAN CLINCH PLAYOFFS “EARLY” -

AS “EARLY” AS SAT. NIGHT,

AND AS MUCH AS 3 AHEAD OF Magic No.




Sun. 9-10 at 2:12 pm PDT

BRAVES 1ST TEAM TO CLINCH 2023 PLAYOFF SLOT -

AND THEY DID IT “EARLY”




A later update will explain what we mean by “EARLY”

(hint: it involves the 3 remaining games between

Arizona and the Cubs)




Wed. 8-23

OAK 1ST TEAM OUT OF 2023 PLAYOFFS (Loss to K C)




copyright, Steven M. Patent 2013-2023




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